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PlayStation 3 Could Be Set To Overtake Xbox 360 By 2012

by Ben Reeves on Nov 09, 2010 at 11:07 AM

Industry analyst Jesse Divnich of the market research firm EEDAR looks into his crystal ball an comes to the conclusion that by 2012 Sony’s PS3 will overtake Microsoft’s Xbox 360 in terms of worldwide sales.

Divnich recently spoke to IndustryGamers on the subject, and while he thinks that Sony will take overtake Microsoft worldwide, he admits that the North American market might be a different story. “I don’t know if the PlayStation 3 will ever overtake the Xbox 360 in North America. Maybe 2014? 2016? We do know the PlayStation 3 has incredible long-term value as a Blu-ray player, much like the PlayStation 2 did as a DVD player, but with strong competition coming from the digital front, one has to wonder if the PlayStation 3 will receive long retail legs like its predecessor did.”

Divnich also went on to add that he doesn’t think that third place is as bad a position to be as it was last generation. “It all comes down to the active installed base; a company can sell as many consoles as it wishes, but if consumers are not actively buying games, they are not part of the installed base’s economic ecosystem. The PlayStation 3 doesn’t have the same problem the GameCube had with its third place finish last generation.”

These are interesting details to ponder. What do you think the industry will look like in 2012?