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EEDAR Declares Wii The Console War Winner
Though Nintendo Wii sales are slowing, the enormous lead it created over the last couple years should cement it as the biggest selling console of the generation, according to EEDAR director of analytic services Jesse Divnich. In a report hosted on IndustryGamers.com, Divnich forecasts that even with a 25-percent sales decline next year, followed by two years of 30-percent declines and a 50-percent drop in 2013, the Wii should still come out on top. In this "worst-case scenario" analysis, the Wii will sell as many consoles as the PlayStation 2 sold last generation.
Divnich is quick to point out that there are some caveats to this prognostication, noting "it assumes that Nintendo will do nothing from now until 2013 in terms of upgrades for the Wii – no new hardware, networking features, or special edition bundles, and Nintendo isn't likely to just stand by. Additionally, we know that Sony plans to support the PS3 through 2016, which means there are three additional years where Sony could gain a tremendous amount of ground on the Wii and Xbox 360 by being able to offer an affordable Blu-ray player to consumers (very similar to the late success the PS2 had by being able to offer consumers an incredibly cheap video game system/DVD player)."
Seems like a no-brainer, right? For a long time this outcome has been a foregone conclusion to many.
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