The lights are on
Veteran Member - Level 12
While morbid, this is
certainly a topic that we should all be aware of. Ever since the 1960’s
humanity has been reaping the rewards of a system that seemed too good to be
true. That system is Moore’s law, and it’s going to crumble, sooner rather than
In 1965 Gordon E. Moore
(one of the founders of Intel), published a paper that explained a phenomenon
that became known as Moore’s law. Every 2 years, the amount of data that can be
stored on a Microchip of any given size doubles, and the cost to do so gets cut
in half; that’s Moore’s law in a Nut shell. The problem is this isn’t a natural
law it’s only an observes phenomenon; It’s just about as true as me
consistently predicting which side a coin lands on. Even if it can be predicted
repeatedly, it’s still not a force of nature that obeys natural laws.
The problem with Moore’s
law, and some more information about it,
is in the video below.
So because the laws of Physics itself are working
against us, by 2020 it will be impossible for computer to improve… using
transistors. That means that all the Computers that were “top of the line” and “cutting
edge” that year will remain the best, forever. Gaming PC’s will stay the same
quality wise (unless they get really massive), and consoles will only last to
2027 at best (that’s approximately when the last generation would come out if
we stay on a 5-7 year cycle.)
about everything now has a computer somewhere on it. Just think about what will
happen when it just… stops.
is a much more of a dour subject that I’m used to addressing, I’ll talk about
something more positive tomorrow.